UMA Disputed Markets Dashboard

Real-time Oracle Voting Analytics for Disputed Polymarket Resolutions

Reveal Stage Active

Voting outcomes are being revealed

Time until Commit Stage
00:00:00
Hours : Minutes : Seconds
2.4K/18.8M
Revealed Votes
$1.58M
24h Volume
15
Markets

Large Unrevealed Voters (>25K tokens)

Token Power
95.3%
17.96M of 18.83M
Voter Share
10.3%
59 of 575 voters

Individual Voters (59)

Disputed Markets Under UMA Review

15 unique markets(24 older versions hidden)
Market Icon

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes100%
Vol:$11.38M
24h:$597.4K

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). Qualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 2429034

No
0
0.0%
Yes👑
1.9K
100.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
2
34 (+6)18
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? - 1780865145
19 (+3)1810h ago
Yes 85%
(81%🌳100%🌱)
No 5%
(6%🌳)
Market Icon

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

Yes100%
Vol:$477.3K
24h:$477.3K

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between M80 and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins 2 or more maps than M80 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. market_id: 2466099

No
0
0.0%
Yes👑
2.4K
100.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
2 (+1)2
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) - 1780947942
2 (+1)217h ago
Yes 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes100%
Vol:$4.62M
24h:$283.8K

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). Qualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 2296150

No
0
0.0%
Yes👑
1.9K
100.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
17 (+3)16
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? - 1780866129
17 (+3)1610h ago
Yes 72%
(69%🌳67%🌱)
No 11%
(15%🌳)
Market Icon

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes100%
Vol:$5.76M
24h:$122.5K

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). Qualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 2241742

No
0
0.0%
Yes👑
1.9K
100.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
15 (+3)14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? - 1780865958
15 (+3)1410h ago
Yes 81%
(77%🌳100%🌱)
No 6%
(8%🌳)
Market Icon

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5

Too Early81%
Vol:$51.4K
24h:$51.4K

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 8 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 2465459

No
439
18.7%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early👑
1.9K
81.3%
Community Discussion
1
5 5
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 - 1780967034
5 51d ago
Too Early 80%
(80%🌳)
No 20%
(20%🌳)
Market Icon

Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Too Early81%
Vol:$13.4K
24h:$13.4K

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Klimovicova and Sinja Kraus in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results. market_id: 2458455

No
439
18.7%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early👑
1.9K
81.3%
Community Discussion
1
4 4
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 - 1780934989
4 42d ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

Set 1 Winner: Klimovicova vs Kraus

Too Early81%
Vol:$12.8K
24h:$12.8K

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Klimovicova and Sinja Kraus in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Klimovicova” if Linda Klimovicova wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kraus” if Sinja Kraus wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics. market_id: 2458452

No
439
18.7%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early👑
1.9K
81.3%
Community Discussion
1
4 4
Set 1 Winner: Klimovicova vs Kraus - 1780934989
4 42d ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Too Early81%
Vol:$12.4K
24h:$12.4K

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Klimovicova and Sinja Kraus in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results. market_id: 2458458

No
439
18.7%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early👑
1.9K
81.3%
Community Discussion
1
4 4
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 - 1780934989
4 42d ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Too Early81%
Vol:$9.2K
24h:$9.2K

This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Klimovicova and Sinja Kraus in the Ilkley, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger results. market_id: 2458454

No
439
18.7%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early👑
1.9K
81.3%
Community Discussion
1
4 4
Klimovicova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 - 1780934989
4 42d ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

Tim Cook is scheduled to participate in an event, "Apple WWDC 2026" on June 8, 2026, 1 PM ET (see: https://developer.apple.com/wwdc26/schedule/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips or prerecorded videos are aired where Tim Cook is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event is definitively cancelled or otherwise is not released by June 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. market_id: 2429518

No
0
0.0%
Yes
439
18.7%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early👑
1.9K
81.3%
Community Discussion
1
7 (+2)7
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event... - 1780938448
7 (+2)717h ago
Too Early 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)

On June 7, 2026, Rick and Morty is scheduled to release Episode 3 of Season 9. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this episode of Rick and Morty. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this episode of Rick and Morty has not been released in its entirety by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Rick and Morty. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. market_id: 2421759

No👑
1.9K
100.0%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
4 (+1)4
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E3 S9? - 1780888504
4 (+1)419h ago
No 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)
Market Icon

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 9 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kyrgyz Republic" if Kyrgyz Republic win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Palestine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. market_id: 2372809

No👑
2.4K
100.0%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
4 4
Spread: Kyrgyz Republic (-1.5) - 1780955602
4 41d ago
No 100%
(100%🌳)
Market Icon

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 3 match between XI Esport and Clutchain in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if XI Esport and Clutchain play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. market_id: 2452402

No
0
0.0%
Yes👑
2.4K
100.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
3 3
Games Total: O/U 2.5 - 1780953292
3 31d ago
Yes 100%
(100%🌳)

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 9, 2026 If Syria wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 2250107

No👑
2.4K
100.0%
Yes
0
0.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
2
12 (+1)7
Syria leading at halftime? - 1780926414
7 (+1)719h ago
No 100%
(100%🌳100%🌱)
Market Icon

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). Any non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN). Qualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iranian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14/). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz/3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https://www.intellinews.com/iran-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997/). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 2413535

No
0
0.0%
Yes👑
1.9K
100.0%
50/50
0
0.0%
Too Early
0
0.0%
Community Discussion
1
14 (+3)13
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? - 1780865890
14 (+3)1310h ago
Yes 67%
(64%🌳67%🌱)
Too Early 20%
(18%🌳33%🌱)